3G comes, defeats get too excited!

 Anticipating 5 years, 3G licenses last fall of the hammer and pitch in the chaos of .5, Quarrels do not want to mention, and nothing more than some people said to be premature, some people said to be of late-onset; some said to be so fat, some said to be so fat. communication has long been guilty of a reporter,
perhaps the reason is the hope for too long, the industry's excitement was palpable, many companies have an unprecedented low-key initiative, made a press release. Industry and Information Technology Minister Li said that within two years, three operators 3G is expected to invest 280 billion yuan will be completed. and telecommunications experts are more optimistic about the projected Chen Jinqiao, he believes 3G will drive trillion yuan in 3 years of social investment. in the economic doldrums of the moment, which for many companies on the industrial chain speaking, what is the good news of the ah!
 but it drew a pie, eat eat are, who can get to eat, and that there was figuring it! I more concerned, such a large investment to drop down, when they can recover costs when they can produce benefits?
ended in November 2008, the number of Chinese mobile phone users has reached 688 million .6.88 billion is what the concept, it is quite in about half of the total Chinese population. In fact, the growth rate of mobile phone users has slowed the trend, as fixed telephone, its growth limit will come very soon. So, three up after the 3G network construction, but also How many new users to tap it? beyond doubt that, 3G users will be mostly from the stock market, that is, from the current migration from 2G network users. So, whether it is mobile users into the telecommunications 189, or switch to the mobile telecommunications user 188, in fact, is a pot of rice, Sheng it to a different bowl.
look at ARPU (Average Revenue Per User), it is really getting worse, not a operators Tingde Zhu. the best performing market of China Mobile, ARPU in 2000, when the value is 221 yuan to 2008 has dropped to 80 yuan down .3 G advent of more data will bring value-added services, activation more applications and services, operators are also hoping to pry open their wallet. However, over the years, mobile communication charges are dropped lower and lower consumption of the user's communications are down and Guangdong Mobile Silver Users monthly consumption over the last threshold is 1,000 yuan, 588 yuan is the package to do a can into a new era of Silver users a .3 G, three wars, tariffs will continue to decline, categorically do not see the price momentum. consumer goods than three, ARPU value even to rise, rose, I am afraid is negligible.
Moreover, 3G real killer application has not been found. video calling, a little fresh meaning, but after the novelty can become the norm for consumption of hard to say . wireless Internet access, sure to attract many young and trendy users, but after all, is a portable mobile phone products, how many people would like a small mobile computer to use as a true? other applications even more difficult when the big office. Even if all of the data applications increase up, is not able to replace the lever and the status of voice call features do?
So, placed in front of the subject of 3G operators, but also quite serious. This is not just competing against three male competition in the market because of the more intense the problem, and is finding vendors to the core business value of 3G is definitely not happen overnight. foreign telecom operators have well-known fall in the 3G, that is one lesson, we need to seriously study, avoiding the risk.
say these things , not to pour cold water. in terms of stimulating economic or technical point of view of progress, 3G-building is inevitable. However, when at full speed to build 3G, operators have to pause to consider how to stimulate the 3G consumed.